Uttar Pradesh election 2022 is a hot topic in India nowadays. Although the BJP is expected to retain total control in Uttar Pradesh, the Samajwadi Party is expected to surpass the BJP in the forthcoming Uttar Pradesh Assembly Election 2022, which will be held in seven phases beginning February 10. The last round of polling will take place on March 7, with the results being published on March 10. Read the article to learn more about the UP Election Polls in 2022.
UP Election Polls 2022 Exit Poll
The battle for Uttar Pradesh has begun, with the assembly elections in 2022 approaching in just a few weeks. It is projected that the BJP would recover power with a strong majority in the state assembly elections. According to surveys, the BJP is expected to win a comfortable majority in the 2022 election in Uttar Pradesh, with the Samajwadi Party winning a significant share of the vote. The state of Uttar Pradesh was divided into six major areas to conduct opinion polls to determine who would win the most seats. The six areas are Purvanchal, Awadh, Western UP, Central UP, Bundelkhand, and Ruhelkhand.
UP Election 2022 Public Opinion
Other pre-election surveys predict an easy win for the BJP, but at the price of a significant seat share for the Samajwadi Party, which will be a direct gain. While the BJP’s claim of improving peace and order and developing projects in Kashi, Mathura, and Varanasi appears to have worked to its advantage, the Lakhimpur Kheri violence, the second COVID-19 wave, and the farmers’ protest might do substantial harm to the party’s image.
The Congress, the Samajwadi Party, the Bahujan Samaj Party, and the Aam Aadmi Party have all indicated that they would run as a single party in the next elections in February and March. Instead of focusing on bigger caste-based parties, the parties have focused on smaller caste-based parties. On the other hand, experts feel that a splintered opposition will only help the BJP by diluting the anti-BJP vote.
The Samajwadi Party has allied with Om Prakash Rajbhar’s SBSP, while the BJP has allied with seven smaller caste-based parties. The BJP has dismissed the SP’s smaller-party alliances, stating that its Apna Dal-Nishad Party coalition will significantly impact the elections.
Also read:- UP opinion poll 2022
Uttar Pradesh Election 2022 – Exit Polls
In opinion polls conducted before the commission published the election dates, the incumbent BJP had the edge over the opposition Samajwadi Party. In up exit poll 2022 BJP, which won over 300 seats in the previous election, is expected to win just over 200 this time. Many seats are in a tight battle that might wind up going to one of these two parties. After the last round of the election in Uttar Pradesh is concluded at 6 p.m. on March 7, exit polls will be released.
According to up election 2022 exit poll conducted by Zee News on Friday, the BJP would win 241-263 seats, exceeding the majority mark. BJP has predicted 245-267 seats on 19 January 2022. Yogi Adityanath is projected to be the state’s most popular CM contender. The BJP is expected to capture 241-263 seats, pushing it closer to a majority. In a previous election on January 19, 2022, the BJP was expected to win 245-267 seats.
In Uttar Pradesh, on the other hand, the SP is predicted to win 130-151 seats, the BSP 4-9 seats, and the Congress 3-7 seats. Yogi Adityanath emerged as the most preferred CM candidate in a prior opinion poll on January 19, 2022. Yogi Adityanath received 47 percent of the vote in the poll, making him the most popular chief minister, and Chief Minister Akhilesh Yadav earned 34% of the vote.
Regional Poll Prediction
Purvanchal
The BJP is anticipated to receive 39 percent of the vote in Purvanchal, according to the Opinion Poll 2022. On the other hand, the SP is expected to receive 36% of the vote. The BSP is anticipated to garner 13% of the vote, while Congress will receive 6%. Furthermore, in Purvanchal, the BJP is likely to win 53-59 seats, while the SP is expected to win 39-45. With 48 percent of the vote, Yogi Adityanath is predicted to be the most popular CM candidate in this area. SP chief Akhilesh Yadav was the CM candidate with a 35% vote.
Central UP
In this district, the BJP is anticipated to garner 46 percent of the vote, just ahead of the SP, which is expected to earn 32 percent. The BJP is expected to win 47-49 seats in seat share, while the SP is expected to win 16-20. Meanwhile, with 47 percent of the vote, Yogi Adityanath is the most popular CM candidate.
Awadh
According to surveys, the BJP is expected to garner 41% of the vote, while the SP receives 32%. The BSP is predicted to receive 12% of the vote. The BJP will win 76-82 seats, while the SP will win 34-38 seats.
Rohilkhand
The BJP is predicted to win 15-17 seats in Rohilkhand, while the SP may only capture 8-10 seats. The BJP will receive four fewer seats than in the last election on January 19, 2022. Earlier BJP has expected to win 19-21 seats.
Bundelkhand
According to the poll, the BJP would win Bundelkhand with 49 percent of the vote. On the other hand, the SP is likely to receive only 21% of the vote. The BJP is expected to win 17-19 seats in Bundelkhand, while the SP is expected to get 0-1 seats. The BJP, on the other hand, saw its vote share decline by 10% from the previous election on January 19.