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POLITICS

13 May 2018 10:52

Does BJP still have an advantage in Karnataka?

Dr. Praveen Patil

BJP has underperformed on election day but still has more seats to defend.


POLITICS

12 May 2018 01:29

Karnataka is Heading in The Saffron Direction

Dr. Praveen Patil

BJP is now poised to win the south Indian state of Karnataka despite all the fake polls and false media coverage of "Edge to Congress"


POLITICS

09 May 2018 09:49

The Last Battle of the Dynasty: Part 3: South Karnataka

Dr. Praveen Patil

Modi has dramatically altered the electoral pitch in Karnataka and may have created a wave in a wave-less election!


POLITICS

04 May 2018 12:50

The Last Battle of The Dynasty: Part 2: Madhya Karnataka

Dr. Praveen Patil

BJP's march continues in central Karnataka but is not as strong in the Coastal belt.


POLITICS

01 May 2018 05:14

The Last Battle of the Dynasty: Part 1: North Karnataka

Dr. Praveen Patil

BJP is leading by a big margin in the 81 Assembly seats of North Karnataka. Will this lead to a UP like sweep in this Southern state?


POLITICS

06 March 2018 05:41

Congress Mukt Bharat is Still an Unfinished Business

Sandeep Balakrishna

When Congress is in power, it will use every dirty trick in the book to remain there. When not in power, it won’t allow you to even function!


POLITICS

21 February 2018 09:08

Modi's Western Conundrum

Dr. Praveen Patil

How Modi faces an uphill task in the western hemisphere in the run-up to 2019.


POLITICS

13 January 2018 03:28

Is BJP still headed for capturing 50% votes across India?

Dr. Praveen Patil

Almost 70% of the core BJP-RSS vote went to Congress this time, while a section of traditional Congress vote diverted to BJP", averred a local BJP Karyakarta a few days after the November 9th elections, "Pawan Kajal (of Congress) will surely capture the Kangra seat, he had won it as an independent candidate last time again......



POLITICS

09 March 2017 06:47

Can Uttar Pradesh annihilate the NaMo opposition for another decade?

Dr. Praveen Patil

“The values of Sangh flow like blood in my veins… the day I die, I want to be draped in the BJP flag” whispered an audibly emotional and teary eyed Kalyan Singh to a huge gathering of party workers in the Jhulelal Park of Lucknow on January 22nd 2013. It was the homecoming of the prodigal son who had redefined Hindutva of..


POLITICS

21 February 2017 01:14

At the midpoint of Uttar Pradesh elections: Can there be a Saffron wave?

Dr. Praveen Patil

On Saturday evening, the 11th of February, when the import of BJP’s underperformance in the Jatland of western UP which went to polls in the very first phase began to sink in, there was a sense of déjà vuabout Bihar 2015 where again the party had begun to possibly stare at defeat from the throes of victory....



POLITICS

13 February 2017 23:29

BJP is not overwhelming like 2014, but is still in pole position after phase 1

Dr. Praveen Patil

[Disclaimer: 5Forty3 is not reporting, analyzing or projecting any exit-polls and is only making ground assessments based on reports from different parts of Uttar Pradesh].There are 2 great recent examples of electoral battles virtually coming to an end on the very 1st phase of a long election season. The first of course is 2014 general elections when BJP was so overwhelming on day 1 of polling


POLITICS

09 February 2017 02:34

The NaMo wave 2.0 sweeps Uttar Pradesh

Dr. Praveen Patil

After the collapse of Babri Masjid on December 6th 1992, the central Congress government had arbitrarily dismissed all the 4 BJP ruled states of North India – Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Himachal Pradesh – to impose president’s rule. A year later, when these states went to polls, BJP lost power in three of those which effectively put a pause to all the ‘perceived’ gains of the Hindu nationalist movem...



POLITICS

02 February 2017 02:18

Punjab at crossroads: a prosperous state in ‘invented’ turmoil

Dr. Praveen Patil

A group of Khalistani terrorists hijack a bus and communally segregate the passengers. 8 innocent Hindus are massacred mercilessly while the remaining Sikhs are left scot free. On that midnight hour when India was sleeping, Punjab had turned back the clock to bring old memories of a blood ridden partition to the fore again. This time, the war was not an external one with Muslims, but a battle within.


POLITICS

24 January 2017 05:13

2014 was not the NaMo electoral Mount Everest!

Dr. Praveen Patil

"Unka program hai Indira hatao, mera program hai garibi hatao" those were the exact words uttered by Mrs. Indira Gandhi in a pre-election rally in 1971 when she unleashed the "garibi hatao" slogan that captured India's imagination. Between 1967 and 1971, Congress party led by Indira Gandhi (along with ally CPI in 1971) managed to increase its vote-share from 41% to almost 49%. In absolute terms,...


POLITICS

23 November 2016 09:07

FIRST HINTS OF A NAMO TSUNAMI AFTER DEMONETIZATION

Dr. Praveen Patil

Five years ago, during the peak of Anna Hazare & Baba Ramdev led agitations against corruption, public anger across India was palpable. Literally millions of people in all cities and towns of India would throng local protest destinations with many of them joining in the evening after finishing their day jobs.


POLITICS

14 November 2016 07:59

A SURGICAL SAFFRON SURGE IN HINDI HEARTLAND

Dr. Praveen Patil

Ukraura Mela is one of the many events of the Hindu festive calendar in eastern Uttar Pradesh during the Dussehra-Diwali season and is often seen as the platform to showcase the political power of various Bahubalisof Azamgarh. This year, during that Mela, there was a massive gun battle that resulted in at least a dozen people being injured. It was a mini-war between two huge Bhandaras organized by cousins Vijay Yadav and Pramod Yadav....



POLITICS

08 November 2016 13:20

IS PUNJAB HEADING FOR A DIRECT TWO HORSE RACE?

Dr. Praveen Patil

We are suffering and the government is simply deaf to our woes” averred Surjeet Singh, a midsize farmer near the Bhagtawala grain market in Amritsar. He along with some 50 other farmers was sitting on an impromptu protest against the state government. A protest which had more than a 100 AAP activists and scores of journalists along with a few ward level Congress leaders.


POLITICS

02 November 2016 17:22

THE ACQUISITION OF PROJECT NATIONALISM BY THE USHV ENTERPRISE

Dr. Praveen Patil

“It is not so manly to resign oneself to one’s degraded position or to sit weeping in the house like women, but it is our duty to strive strenuously to remove the cause of our misfortune” was a screaming clarion call of Tilak in his Newspaper, Kesari, in 1905. That was an India deep in slumber, resigned to her Karma of slavery to foreign powers. An India that simply had no will or means to fight back....



POLITICS

20 July 2016 17:14

A SAFFRON COUNTRY WITHIN A COUNTRY PART 2: LOTUS BLOOMS AFTER 14 YEARS OF VANVAS

Dr. Praveen Patil

[This is a 2 part series on Uttar Pradesh elections 2017 based on Team 5Forty3 Survey conducted between June 28th and July 14th.] In late May, BSP supremo, Mayawati had neatly divided the responsibilities of different castes among her lieutenants. Swami Prasad Maurya and R.S. Kushwaha where given the responsibility of bringing in Kushwaha, Maurya, Shakhya and Saini votes....



POLITICS

16 July 2016 17:03

A SAFFRON COUNTRY WITHIN A COUNTRY: PART 1 – THE RISE OF A YOGI

Dr. Praveen Patil

[This is part 1 of the two part Uttar Pradesh election analysis based on Team 5Forty3’s survey conducted between June 28th and July 14th] “Today I am an independent woman who can take care of her children” says Prema Devi, a young Dalit Jatav ‘social worker’ near Kanpur who then goes on to add, “Mayawati ji gave us self-respect no doubt, but that is not enough to sustain our day-to-day lives; ...



POLITICS

04 April 2016 08:20

THE BENGAL PUZZLE

Dr. Praveen Patil

“BJP is like a bride who has been getting ready with her bridal make-up for the last 2 years and we are still waiting to catch a glimpse of the bride’s face… I guess we won’t see her in 2016” avers Sudipto a 35-year-old techie from Kolkata who has been a life-long communist but had voted for Modi’s party in 2014. His words sum up the situation of BJP in Bengal as aptly as one could ever do. In fact, this is not just a one off anecdotal quote but a unique demographic-electoral reality


POLITICS

01 December 2015 16:20

THE LAST 72-HOUR SYNDROME

Dr. Praveen Patil

On the 10th of November, the accepted logic among the BJP circles of Gujarat was that the ruling party is facing some resistance but would still scrape through in almost all the city corporations barring probably Rajkot. Less than a fortnight later, on the actual polling day on 22nd November, the picture had completely changed as the saffron party was even struggling in its citadel of Ahmedabad.


POLITICS

04 October 2015 18:30

How Narasimha Rao Rescued India From Being A Nation Of Maid-Servants

Dr. Praveen Patil

This is the snapshot of P.V. Narasimha Rao’s interview given to Prabhu Chawla of the Indian Express on 8th July 1991. The then Prime Minister of India, in this interview, comes across as an extremely confident leader who was aware of his historic duty to liberalize Indian economy, especially when he emphatically states, “We mean business now”!


POLITICS

27 April 2015 17:00

ISLAM, POP CULTURE AND THE DEMOGRAPHIC DEMON

Dr. Praveen Patil

That was a magical evening. That was an evening of joyous songs. That was an evening of hopeless romantics discovering the love of their lives. As hundreds of thousands of people gathered at the Champs-Élysées amidst neon lights and honking horns, there was unprecedented merriment everywhere. It was the greatest party that Paris had hosted since liberation day in 1944.


POLITICS

21 July 2012 17:00

HOW SONIA GANDHI ROBBED SURJEET'S LANDS AND WHY GOURAMMA IS ANGRY WITH SHANTAPPA: THE MONKEY BUSINESS OF MNREGA

Dr. Praveen Patil

Near the Radha Soamy satsang, Parore, Kangra district, Himachal Pradesh: Surjeet Sharma, a Gaddi pandit belonging to the scheduled tribes of Himachal Pradesh, clearly remembers the year 2005, when he married a gaddan from Chamba. Year 2005 was momentous for the Sharma’s, not only because of the marriage of their only son but also because that year they had collectively made a decent profit in their fields and had brought their first automobile.


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AUTHORS

Dr.Praveen Patil

Is the founder and CEO of 5Forty3 Datalabs. He is India’s foremost psephologist and demographic scientist.


Sandeep Balakrishna

Is a passionate researcher and storyteller with a longtime focus on India’s Socio, Political and Economic journey.


Sampath Iyengar

Is a global business leader, entrepreneur and strategy specialist with over 25 years of leadership experience.

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